A recent Israeli television poll reveals a deadlock between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s supporting bloc and the opposition, each securing 53 seats. Meanwhile, Arab parties are expected to claim 14 seats, leaving both major blocs short of the 61-seat majority required in the Knesset.
This development signifies a notable change from the previous poll, where the opposition led with a 57-48 advantage. The shift is largely due to the entrance of two right-wing factions into the projected Knesset lineup: Ofer Winter’s People of Israel with four seats and the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance, securing six seats.
The race between Netanyahu’s Likud party and the opposition frontrunner Yashar, headed by Gadi Eisenkot, has also tightened. Yashar is poised to secure 22 seats, closely followed by Likud with 21 seats. On the other hand, the mainly Arab Joint List has gained traction, increasing its support to nine seats. Concurrently, the B’Yachad alliance, led by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, has seen a decline, dropping to 12 seats.
Several other parties, including Unity, Blue and White, and Zionist Home-The Reservists, are predicted to fall below the electoral threshold necessary for Knesset entry. These projections are based on a survey conducted with 940 respondents, which has a margin of error of 3.4%.